The output items
The CSV, TXT and XLS outputs of JDemetra+ may contain the items shown in table below.
A list of output items of JDemetra+ CSV, TXT and XLS formats.
Code | Meaning |
---|---|
\(y\) | Original series |
\(y\_ f\) | Forecasts of the original series |
\(y\_ ef\) | Standard errors of the forecasts of the original series |
\(y\_ c\) | Interpolated series |
\(yc\_ f\) | Forecasts of the interpolated series |
\(yc\_ ef\) | Standard errors of the forecasts of the interpolated series |
\(y\_ lin\) | Linearised series (not transformed) |
\(l\) | Linearised series (transformed) |
\({ycal}\) | Series corrected for calendar effects |
\(ycal\_ f\) | Forecasts of the series corrected for calendar effects |
\(l\_ f\) | Forecasts of the linearised series |
\(l\_ b\) | Backcasts of the linearised series |
\(t\) | Trend (including deterministic effects) |
\(t\_ f\) | Forecasts of the trend |
\({sa}\) | Seasonally adjusted series (including deterministic effects) |
\(sa\_ f\) | Forecasts of the seasonally adjusted series |
\(s\) | Seasonal component (including deterministic effects) |
\(s\_ f\) | Forecasts of the seasonal component |
\(i\) | Irregular component (including deterministic effects) |
\(i\_ f\) | Forecasts of the irregular component |
\({det}\) | All deterministic effects |
\(det\_ f\) | Forecasts of the deterministic effects |
\({cal}\) | Calendar effects |
\(cal\_ f\) | Forecasts of the calendar effects |
\({tde}\) | Trading day effect |
\(tde\_ f\) | Forecasts of the trading day effect |
\({mhe}\) | Moving holidays effects |
\(mhe\_ f\) | Forecasts of the moving holidays effects |
\({ee}\) | Easter effect |
\(ee\_ f\) | Forecasts of the Easter effect |
\({omhe}\) | Other moving holidays effects |
\(omhe\_ f\) | Forecasts of the other moving holidays effects |
\({out}\) | All outliers effects |
\(out\_ f\) | Forecasts of all outliers effects |
\(out\_ i\) | Outliers effects related to irregular (AO, TC) |
\(out\_ i\_ f\) | Forecasts of outliers effects related to irregular (TC) |
\(out\_ t\) | Outliers effects related to trend (LS) |
\(out\_ t\_ f\) | Forecasts of outliers effects related to trend (LS) |
\(out\_ s\) | Outliers effects related to seasonal (SO) |
\(out\_ s\_ f\) | Forecasts of outliers effects related to seasonal (SO) |
\({reg}\) | All other regression effects |
\(reg\_ f\) | Forecasts of all other regression effects |
\(reg\_ i\) | Regression effects related to irregular |
\(reg\_ i\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to irregular |
\(reg\_ t\) | Regression effects related to trend |
\(reg\_ t\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to trend |
\(reg\_ s\) | Regression effects related to seasonal |
\(reg\_ s\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to seasonal |
\(reg\_ sa\) | Regression effects related to seasonally adjusted series |
\(reg\_ sa\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to seasonally adjusted series |
\(reg\_ y\) | Separate regression effects |
\(reg\_ y\_ f\) | Forecasts of separate regression effects |
\({fullresiduals}\) | Full residuals of the RegARIMA model |
\(decomposition.y\_ lin\) | Linearised series used as input in the decomposition |
\(decomposition.y\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecast of the linearised series used as input in the decomposition |
\(decomposition.t\_ lin\) | Trend produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.t\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the trend produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.s\_ lin\) | Seasonal component produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.s\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the Seasonal component produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.i\_ lin\) | Irregular produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.i\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the irregular produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.sa\_ lin\) | Seasonally adjusted series produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.sa\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the seasonally adjusted series produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.si\_ lin\) | Seasonal-Irregular produced by the decomposition |
\(decomposition.x - tables.y\) | For X-13ARIMA-SEATS only. Series from the X-11 decomposition (x = a, b, c, d, e; y=a1...) |
\({benchmarking.result}\) | Benchmarked seasonally adjusted series |
\({benchmarking.target}\) | Target for the benchmarking |
The CSV matrix of JDemetra+ may contain:
Code | Meaning |
\({span.start}\\) | Start of the series span |
\({span.end}\) | End of the series span |
\({span.n}\) | Length of the series span |
\({espan.start}\) | Start of the estimation span |
\({espan.end}\) | End of the estimation span |
\({espan.n}\) | Length of the estimation span |
\({likelihood.neffectiveobs}\) | Number of effective observations in the likelihood function |
\({likelihood.np}\) | Number of parameters in the likelihood |
\({likelihood.logvalue}\) | Log likelihood |
\({likelihood.adjustedlogvalue}\) | Adjusted log likelihood |
\({likelihood.ssqerr}\) | Sum of the squared errors in the likelihood |
\({likelihood.aic}\) | AIC statistics |
\({likelihood.aicc}\) | Corrected AIC statistics |
\({likelihood.bic}\) | BIC statistics |
\({likelihood.bicc}\) | BIC corrected for length |
\({residuals.ser}\) | Standard error of the residuals (unbiased, TRAMO-like) |
\(residuals.ser - ml\) | Standard error of the residuals (ML, X-13ARIMA-SEATS-like) |
\({residuals.mean}\) | Test on the mean of the residuals |
\({residuals.skewness}\) | Test on the skewness of the residuals |
\({residuals.kurtos}\) | Test on the kurtosis of the residuals |
\({residuals.dh}\) | Test on the normality of the residuals (Doornik-Hansen tests) |
\({residuals.lb}\) | The Ljung-Box test on the residuals |
\({residuals.lb2}\) | The Ljung-Box test on the squared residuals |
\({residuals.seaslb}\) | The Ljung-Box test on the residuals at seasonal lags |
\({residuals.bp}\) | The Box-Pierce test on the residuals |
\({residuals.bp2}\) | The Box-Pierce test on the squared residuals |
\({residuals.seasbp}\) | The Box-Pierce test on the residuals at seasonal lags |
\({residuals.nruns}\) | Test on the number of runs of the residuals |
\({residuals.lruns}\) | Test on the length of runs of the residuals |
\(mstatistics.m1\) | The relative contribution of the irregular over three months span |
\(mstatistics.m2\) | The relative contribution of the irregular component to the stationary portion of the variance |
\(mstatistics.m3\) | The amount of period to period change in the irregular component as compared to the amount of period to period change in the trend-cycle |
\(mstatistics.m4\) | The amount of autocorrelation in the irregular as described by the average duration of run |
\(mstatistics.m5\) | The number of periods it takes the change in the trend-cycle to surpass the amount of change in the irregular |
\(mstatistics.m6\) | The amount of year to year change in the irregular as compared to the amount of year to year change in the seasonal |
\(mstatistics.m7\) | The amount of moving seasonality present relative to the amount of stable seasonality |
\(mstatistics.m8\) | The size of the fluctuations in the seasonal component throughout the whole series |
\(mstatistics.m9\) | The average linear movement in the seasonal component throughout the whole series |
\(mstatistics.m10\) | The size of the fluctuations in the seasonal component in the recent years |
\(mstatistics.m11\) | The average linear movement in the seasonal component in the recent years |
\({mstatistics.q}\) | Summary of the M-Statistics |
\(mstatistics.q - m2\) | Summary of the M-Statistics without M2 |
\({diagnostics.quality}\) | Summary of the diagnostics |
\({diagnostics.basic\ checks.definition:2}\) | Definition test |
\({diagnostics.basic\ checks.annual\ totals:2}\) | Annual totals test |
\({diagnostics.visual\ spectral\ analysis.spectral\ seas\ peaks}\) | Test of the presence of the visual seasonal peaks in SA and/or irregular |
\({diagnostics.visual\ spectral\ analysis.spectral\ td\ peaks}\) | Test of the presence of the visual trading day peaks in SA and/or irregular |
\({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.normality:2}\) | Test of the normality of the residuals |
\({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.independence:2}\) | Test of the independence of the residuals |
\({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.spectral\ td\ peaks:2}\) | Test of the presence of trading day peaks in the residuals |
\({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.spectral\ seas\ peaks:2}\) | Test of the presence of seasonal peaks in the residuals |
\({diagnostics.residual\ seasonality.on\ sa:2}\) | Test of the presence of residual seasonality in the SA series |
\({diagnostics.residual\ seasonality.on\ sa\ (last\ 3\ years):2}\) | Test of the presence of residual seasonality on\ sa\ (last\ 3\ years):2$$ |
\({diagnostics.residual\ seasonality.on\ irregular:2}\) | Test of the presence of residual seasonality in the irregular series (last periods) |
\(diagnostics.seats.seas\ variance:2\) | Test on the variance of the seasonal component |
\(diagnostics.seats.irregular\ variance:2\) | Test on the variance of the irregular component |
\(diagnostics.seats.seas/irr\ cross - correlation:2\) | Test on the cross-correlation between the seasonal and the irregular component |
\({log}\) | Log transformation |
\({adjust}\) | Pre-adjustment of the series for leap year |
\({arima.mean}\) | Mean correction |
\({arima.p}\) | The regular autoregressive order of the ARIMA model |
\({arima.d}\) | The regular differencing order of the ARIMA model |
\({arima.q}\) | Regular moving average order of the ARIMA model |
\({arima.bp}\) | The seasonal autoregressive order of the ARIMA model |
\({arima.bd}\) | The seasonal differencing order of the ARIMA model |
\({arima.bq}\) | The seasonal moving average order of the ARIMA model |
\(arima.phi(i)\) | Regular autoregressive parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=3) of the ARIMA model |
\(arima.th(i)\) | Regular moving average parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=3) of the ARIMA model |
\(arima.bphi(i)\) | Seasonal autoregressive parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=1) of the ARIMA model |
\(arima.bth(i)\) | Seasonal moving average parameter (lag=$i$ max $i$=1) of the ARIMA model |
\(regression.lp:3\) | Coefficient and test on the leap year |
\({regression.ntd}\) | Number of trading day variables |
\({regression.td}\left( i \right):3\) | Coefficient and test on the $i^\ $trading day variable |
\({regression.nmh}\) | Number of moving holidays |
\(regression.easter:3\) | Coefficient and test on the Easter variable |
\({regression.nout}\) | Number of outliers |
\({regression.out}\left( i \right):3\) | Coefficient and test on $i^\ $the outlier (max $i$=16) |
\({decomposition.seasonality}\) | Presence of a seasonal component (1 – present, 0 – not present) |
\({decomposition.trendfilter}\) | The order of the trend filter |
\({decomoposition.seasfilter}\) | The order of the seasonal filter |