The output items
The CSV, TXT and XLS outputs of JDemetra+ may contain the items shown in table below.
A list of output items of JDemetra+ CSV, TXT and XLS formats.
| Code | Meaning |
|---|---|
| \(y\) | Original series |
| \(y\_ f\) | Forecasts of the original series |
| \(y\_ ef\) | Standard errors of the forecasts of the original series |
| \(y\_ c\) | Interpolated series |
| \(yc\_ f\) | Forecasts of the interpolated series |
| \(yc\_ ef\) | Standard errors of the forecasts of the interpolated series |
| \(y\_ lin\) | Linearised series (not transformed) |
| \(l\) | Linearised series (transformed) |
| \({ycal}\) | Series corrected for calendar effects |
| \(ycal\_ f\) | Forecasts of the series corrected for calendar effects |
| \(l\_ f\) | Forecasts of the linearised series |
| \(l\_ b\) | Backcasts of the linearised series |
| \(t\) | Trend (including deterministic effects) |
| \(t\_ f\) | Forecasts of the trend |
| \({sa}\) | Seasonally adjusted series (including deterministic effects) |
| \(sa\_ f\) | Forecasts of the seasonally adjusted series |
| \(s\) | Seasonal component (including deterministic effects) |
| \(s\_ f\) | Forecasts of the seasonal component |
| \(i\) | Irregular component (including deterministic effects) |
| \(i\_ f\) | Forecasts of the irregular component |
| \({det}\) | All deterministic effects |
| \(det\_ f\) | Forecasts of the deterministic effects |
| \({cal}\) | Calendar effects |
| \(cal\_ f\) | Forecasts of the calendar effects |
| \({tde}\) | Trading day effect |
| \(tde\_ f\) | Forecasts of the trading day effect |
| \({mhe}\) | Moving holidays effects |
| \(mhe\_ f\) | Forecasts of the moving holidays effects |
| \({ee}\) | Easter effect |
| \(ee\_ f\) | Forecasts of the Easter effect |
| \({omhe}\) | Other moving holidays effects |
| \(omhe\_ f\) | Forecasts of the other moving holidays effects |
| \({out}\) | All outliers effects |
| \(out\_ f\) | Forecasts of all outliers effects |
| \(out\_ i\) | Outliers effects related to irregular (AO, TC) |
| \(out\_ i\_ f\) | Forecasts of outliers effects related to irregular (TC) |
| \(out\_ t\) | Outliers effects related to trend (LS) |
| \(out\_ t\_ f\) | Forecasts of outliers effects related to trend (LS) |
| \(out\_ s\) | Outliers effects related to seasonal (SO) |
| \(out\_ s\_ f\) | Forecasts of outliers effects related to seasonal (SO) |
| \({reg}\) | All other regression effects |
| \(reg\_ f\) | Forecasts of all other regression effects |
| \(reg\_ i\) | Regression effects related to irregular |
| \(reg\_ i\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to irregular |
| \(reg\_ t\) | Regression effects related to trend |
| \(reg\_ t\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to trend |
| \(reg\_ s\) | Regression effects related to seasonal |
| \(reg\_ s\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to seasonal |
| \(reg\_ sa\) | Regression effects related to seasonally adjusted series |
| \(reg\_ sa\_ f\) | Forecasts of regression effects related to seasonally adjusted series |
| \(reg\_ y\) | Separate regression effects |
| \(reg\_ y\_ f\) | Forecasts of separate regression effects |
| \({fullresiduals}\) | Full residuals of the RegARIMA model |
| \(decomposition.y\_ lin\) | Linearised series used as input in the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.y\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecast of the linearised series used as input in the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.t\_ lin\) | Trend produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.t\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the trend produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.s\_ lin\) | Seasonal component produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.s\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the Seasonal component produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.i\_ lin\) | Irregular produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.i\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the irregular produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.sa\_ lin\) | Seasonally adjusted series produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.sa\_ lin\_ f\) | Forecasts of the seasonally adjusted series produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.si\_ lin\) | Seasonal-Irregular produced by the decomposition |
| \(decomposition.x - tables.y\) | For X-13ARIMA-SEATS only. Series from the X-11 decomposition (x = a, b, c, d, e; y=a1...) |
| \({benchmarking.result}\) | Benchmarked seasonally adjusted series |
| \({benchmarking.target}\) | Target for the benchmarking |
The CSV matrix of JDemetra+ may contain:
| Code | Meaning |
| \({span.start}\\) | Start of the series span |
| \({span.end}\) | End of the series span |
| \({span.n}\) | Length of the series span |
| \({espan.start}\) | Start of the estimation span |
| \({espan.end}\) | End of the estimation span |
| \({espan.n}\) | Length of the estimation span |
| \({likelihood.neffectiveobs}\) | Number of effective observations in the likelihood function |
| \({likelihood.np}\) | Number of parameters in the likelihood |
| \({likelihood.logvalue}\) | Log likelihood |
| \({likelihood.adjustedlogvalue}\) | Adjusted log likelihood |
| \({likelihood.ssqerr}\) | Sum of the squared errors in the likelihood |
| \({likelihood.aic}\) | AIC statistics |
| \({likelihood.aicc}\) | Corrected AIC statistics |
| \({likelihood.bic}\) | BIC statistics |
| \({likelihood.bicc}\) | BIC corrected for length |
| \({residuals.ser}\) | Standard error of the residuals (unbiased, TRAMO-like) |
| \(residuals.ser - ml\) | Standard error of the residuals (ML, X-13ARIMA-SEATS-like) |
| \({residuals.mean}\) | Test on the mean of the residuals |
| \({residuals.skewness}\) | Test on the skewness of the residuals |
| \({residuals.kurtos}\) | Test on the kurtosis of the residuals |
| \({residuals.dh}\) | Test on the normality of the residuals (Doornik-Hansen tests) |
| \({residuals.lb}\) | The Ljung-Box test on the residuals |
| \({residuals.lb2}\) | The Ljung-Box test on the squared residuals |
| \({residuals.seaslb}\) | The Ljung-Box test on the residuals at seasonal lags |
| \({residuals.bp}\) | The Box-Pierce test on the residuals |
| \({residuals.bp2}\) | The Box-Pierce test on the squared residuals |
| \({residuals.seasbp}\) | The Box-Pierce test on the residuals at seasonal lags |
| \({residuals.nruns}\) | Test on the number of runs of the residuals |
| \({residuals.lruns}\) | Test on the length of runs of the residuals |
| \(mstatistics.m1\) | The relative contribution of the irregular over three months span |
| \(mstatistics.m2\) | The relative contribution of the irregular component to the stationary portion of the variance |
| \(mstatistics.m3\) | The amount of period to period change in the irregular component as compared to the amount of period to period change in the trend-cycle |
| \(mstatistics.m4\) | The amount of autocorrelation in the irregular as described by the average duration of run |
| \(mstatistics.m5\) | The number of periods it takes the change in the trend-cycle to surpass the amount of change in the irregular |
| \(mstatistics.m6\) | The amount of year to year change in the irregular as compared to the amount of year to year change in the seasonal |
| \(mstatistics.m7\) | The amount of moving seasonality present relative to the amount of stable seasonality |
| \(mstatistics.m8\) | The size of the fluctuations in the seasonal component throughout the whole series |
| \(mstatistics.m9\) | The average linear movement in the seasonal component throughout the whole series |
| \(mstatistics.m10\) | The size of the fluctuations in the seasonal component in the recent years |
| \(mstatistics.m11\) | The average linear movement in the seasonal component in the recent years |
| \({mstatistics.q}\) | Summary of the M-Statistics |
| \(mstatistics.q - m2\) | Summary of the M-Statistics without M2 |
| \({diagnostics.quality}\) | Summary of the diagnostics |
| \({diagnostics.basic\ checks.definition:2}\) | Definition test |
| \({diagnostics.basic\ checks.annual\ totals:2}\) | Annual totals test |
| \({diagnostics.visual\ spectral\ analysis.spectral\ seas\ peaks}\) | Test of the presence of the visual seasonal peaks in SA and/or irregular |
| \({diagnostics.visual\ spectral\ analysis.spectral\ td\ peaks}\) | Test of the presence of the visual trading day peaks in SA and/or irregular |
| \({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.normality:2}\) | Test of the normality of the residuals |
| \({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.independence:2}\) | Test of the independence of the residuals |
| \({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.spectral\ td\ peaks:2}\) | Test of the presence of trading day peaks in the residuals |
| \({diagnostics.regarima\ residuals.spectral\ seas\ peaks:2}\) | Test of the presence of seasonal peaks in the residuals |
| \({diagnostics.residual\ seasonality.on\ sa:2}\) | Test of the presence of residual seasonality in the SA series |
| \({diagnostics.residual\ seasonality.on\ sa\ (last\ 3\ years):2}\) | Test of the presence of residual seasonality on\ sa\ (last\ 3\ years):2$$ |
| \({diagnostics.residual\ seasonality.on\ irregular:2}\) | Test of the presence of residual seasonality in the irregular series (last periods) |
| \(diagnostics.seats.seas\ variance:2\) | Test on the variance of the seasonal component |
| \(diagnostics.seats.irregular\ variance:2\) | Test on the variance of the irregular component |
| \(diagnostics.seats.seas/irr\ cross - correlation:2\) | Test on the cross-correlation between the seasonal and the irregular component |
| \({log}\) | Log transformation |
| \({adjust}\) | Pre-adjustment of the series for leap year |
| \({arima.mean}\) | Mean correction |
| \({arima.p}\) | The regular autoregressive order of the ARIMA model |
| \({arima.d}\) | The regular differencing order of the ARIMA model |
| \({arima.q}\) | Regular moving average order of the ARIMA model |
| \({arima.bp}\) | The seasonal autoregressive order of the ARIMA model |
| \({arima.bd}\) | The seasonal differencing order of the ARIMA model |
| \({arima.bq}\) | The seasonal moving average order of the ARIMA model |
| \(arima.phi(i)\) | Regular autoregressive parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=3) of the ARIMA model |
| \(arima.th(i)\) | Regular moving average parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=3) of the ARIMA model |
| \(arima.bphi(i)\) | Seasonal autoregressive parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=1) of the ARIMA model |
| \(arima.bth(i)\) | Seasonal moving average parameter (lag=$i$ max $i$=1) of the ARIMA model |
| \(regression.lp:3\) | Coefficient and test on the leap year |
| \({regression.ntd}\) | Number of trading day variables |
| \({regression.td}\left( i \right):3\) | Coefficient and test on the $i^\ $trading day variable |
| \({regression.nmh}\) | Number of moving holidays |
| \(regression.easter:3\) | Coefficient and test on the Easter variable |
| \({regression.nout}\) | Number of outliers |
| \({regression.out}\left( i \right):3\) | Coefficient and test on $i^\ $the outlier (max $i$=16) |
| \({decomposition.seasonality}\) | Presence of a seasonal component (1 – present, 0 – not present) |
| \({decomposition.trendfilter}\) | The order of the trend filter |
| \({decomoposition.seasfilter}\) | The order of the seasonal filter |